Quebec’s 41th Legislature broke records in the number of members of the National Assembly (MNAs) who stepped down and had to be replaced in by-elections. Over Philippe Couillard’s four-year-and-a-half term, there was a total of 15 by-elections!
Will there be as many MNAs quitting during the CAQ’s first term? Already, voters in the Roberval riding (Lac-Saint-Jean) must return to the polls to replace the former Premier. He retired from politics because his party was defeated.
We will be measuring the strength of all parties throughout these contests just as we did during the 2018 general election. The metrics we will be watching are which parties field candidates and how well is their funding progressing.
To gain a historical perspective, you can check below the parties’ dates of authorization and their 2014 results, if they existed at the time, followed by their 2018 results.
By-elections
Roberval, 10 December 2018
All parties and independent candidates have until Saturday 24 November, 2pm to file their nominating papers with the returning officer.
Here are the results for the Roberval riding in 1st October’s general elections. Parties are sorted by support in the popular vote.
| Candidates | Results1 | |
|---|---|---|
| Parties with seats at the National Assembly | ||
| Liberals | Philippe Couillard / William Laroche | 42,46% |
| Coalition avenir Québec | Denise Trudel / Nancy Guillemette | 24,16% |
| Parti québécois | Thomas Gaudreault | 19,02% |
| Quebec Solidaire | Luc-Antoine Cauchon | 10,70% |
| Parties to watch | ||
| Conservative Party of Québec | Carl Lamontagne | 1,72% |
| Citoyens au pouvoir du Québec | Julie Boucher | 1,10% |
| Green Party of Quebec | s.o. / Alex Tyrrell | NA |
| Fixtures of recent Quebec elections | ||
| no candidates | ||
| New kids on the block | ||
| Parti nul | Lynda Lalancette | 0,85% |
The partition into four party-types comes from the “#Not all small parties” blog post. Citoyens au pouvoir has however been reclassified as a party to watch. The categorization will be updated according to general election results and by-election candidacies.
2018 general elections
The 21 independent candidates collectively earned 0.16% of votes province-wide.
Parties are sorted by support in the popular vote within their own category.
| Nb of candidates2 | Contributions3 | Results4 | Seats5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parties with seats at the National Assembly | ||||
| Coalition avenir Québec | 125 | $712,784 | 37.42% | 74 |
| Liberals | 125 | $783,210 | 24.82% | 31 |
| Parti québécois | 125 | $1,081,159 | 17.06% | 10 |
| Quebec Solidaire | 125 | $549,827 | 16.10% | 10 |
| Parties to watch | ||||
| Green Party of Quebec | 97 | $14,049 | 1.68% | |
| Conservative Party of Québec | 101 | $27,556 | 1.47% | |
| NDP Quebec | 59 | $38,090 | 0.57% | |
| Citoyens au pouvoir du Québec | 56 | $16,614 | 0.34% | |
| Fixtures of recent Quebec elections | ||||
| Bloc Pot | 29 | $6,199 | 0.12% | |
| Marxist-Leninist Party of Quebec | 25 | $7,430 | 0.04% | |
| New kids on the block | ||||
| Parti nul | 16 | 0.09% | ||
| Équipe autonomiste | 12 | $780 | 0.03% | |
| Parti libre | 8 | $700 | 0.04% | |
| Changement intégrité pour notre Québec (CINQ) | 7 | 0.02% | ||
| Party 51 | 5 | $2,921 | 0.03% | |
| Alliance provinciale du Québec | 2 | 0.01% | ||
| Voie du peuple | 1 | 0.00% (190 votes) | ||
| Parti culinaire du Québec | 1 | 0.00% (169 votes) | ||
Historical look back
Following the 1977 Act to govern the financing of political parties, since then replaced by the Election Act, the Chief Electoral Officer must authorize political parties.
| Date of authorization6 | 2014 / 20187 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Nb of candidates | Vote share | ||
| Parties with seats at the National Assembly | |||
| Liberals | 22 February 19788 | 125 / 125 | 41.5% / 24.8% |
| Coalition avenir Québec | 14 February 2012 | 122 / 125 | 23.1% / 17.1% |
| Parti québécois | 22 February 19789 | 124 / 125 | 25.4% / 37.4% |
| Quebec Solidaire | 1 January 201810 | 124 / 125 | 7.6% / 16.1% |
| Parties to watch | |||
| Green Party of Quebec | 14 November 2001 | 44 / 97 | 0.55% / 1.68% |
| Conservative Party of Québec | 25 March 2009 | 59 / 101 | 0.39% / 1.46% |
| NDP Quebec | 30 January 2014 | NA / 59 | NA / 0.57% |
| Citoyens au pouvoir du Québec | 13 June 2012 | 5 / 56 | 0.03% / 0.34% |
| Fixtures of recent Quebec elections | |||
| Bloc Pot | 18 March 1998 | 14 / 29 | 0.06% |
| Marxist-Leninist Party of Quebec | 5 May 1989 | 24 / 25 | 0.05% |
| New kids on the block | |||
| Parti nul | 9 April 2009 | 24 / 16 | 0.18% / 0.09% |
| Parti libre | 2 December 2016 | NA / 8 | NA / 0.04% |
| Équipe autonomiste | 21 March 2012 | 5 / 12 | 0.01% / 0.03% |
| Party 51 | 13 October 2016 | NA / 5 | NA / 0.03% |
| Changement intégrité pour notre Québec (CINQ) | 6 October 2016 | NA / 7 | NA / 0.02% |
| Alliance provinciale du Québec | 17 May 2018 | NA / 2 | NA / 0.01% |
| Voie du peuple | 30 August 2018 | NA / 1 | NA / 0.00% (190 votes) |
| Parti culinaire du Québec | 8 June 2018 | NA / 1 | NA / 0.00% (169 votes) |
Notes
- Official results by electoral divisions: October 1, 2018 General elections
- Candidate Statistics
- Research on contributors on 24 September 2018 at 10:08am.
- Official results by political party for all electoral divisions: October 1, 2018 General elections
- Official results by political party for all electoral divisions: October 1, 2018 General elections
- Register of parties, authorized independent candidates and others
- Official results by political party for all electoral divisions: April 7, 2014 General elections
- Following the 1977 Act to govern the financing of political parties: the QLP was founded on the same day as Canada (1 July 1867).
- Following the 1977 Act to govern the financing of political parties: the PQ was founded on 11 October 1968.
- Because it merged with Option nationale: Quebec Solidaire was founded on 4 February 2006.